本文使用中国教育追踪调查（CEPS）2013—2014 年的基线数据，分析了农村子女随迁对其教育期望的影响及影响机制。本文以教育期望为因变量，是否随迁为核心解释变量，在控制了农村子女的个人特征、家庭特征、学校特征后，进行 OLS 回归与 Logit 回归，利用工具变量法解决内生性问题，并将父母教育期望作为中介变量来探究是否存在“随迁/留守—父母教育期望—子女教育期望”这一路径。研究结果表明，农村随迁子女教育期望显著高于留守子女，并且这一影响对九年级学生、独生子女更为显著。此外，父母教育期望的提升是随迁子女自我教育期望提升的一个主要原因。

Using the baseline data from 2013 to 2014 of China Education Panel Survey(CEPS), this paper aims to analyze the educational expectation of rural left-behind children and migrant children. This paper takes educational expectation as the dependent variable and whether the sample is migrant child or not as the core explanatory variable. After controlling the individual characteristics, family characteristics and school characteristics of rural children, OLS regression and Logit regression were carried out respectively, and the endogenous problem was solved by means of instrumental variable method. In addition, this paper takes the educational expectation of parents as the mediating variable to explore whether there exists the path of "left-behind/migrant children -- parents' educational expectation -- children's educational expectation". The results show that the educational expectation of rural migrant children is significantly higher than that of left-behind children, and this effect is more significant for grade 9 students and only children. In addition, the improvement of parents' educational expectation is a main reason for the improvement of children's educational expectation.