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中文题名:

 欧盟国家对加入“一带一路”倡议的选择差异研究——基于欧盟 27 国的 fsQCA 检验    

姓名:

 刘鹏    

保密级别:

 公开    

论文语种:

 中文    

学科代码:

 030207    

学科专业:

 国际关系    

学生类型:

 硕士    

学位:

 法学硕士    

学位类型:

 学术学位    

学位年度:

 2021    

校区:

 北京校区培养    

学院:

 政府管理学院    

第一导师姓名:

 张胜军    

第一导师单位:

 北京师范大学政府管理学院    

提交日期:

 2021-06-19    

答辩日期:

 2021-06-08    

外文题名:

 RESEARCH ON THE DIFFERENCES OF EU COUNTRIES’ CHOICES FOR JOINING “THE BELT AND ROAD”INITIATIVE——BASED ON THE FSQCA TEST OF EU 27 COUNTRIES    

中文关键词:

 欧盟国家 ; “一带一路”倡议 ; 选择差异 ; fsQCA    

中文摘要:
     面对中国提出的“一带一路”倡议,欧盟国家的认知和接受度出现了差异。 有的欧盟国家强调“一带一路”倡议对欧洲的地缘政治威胁,而有的欧盟国家则 更加看重潜在的经济发展机遇。截至目前,已有 18 个欧盟国家加入“一带一路” 倡议,但仍有 9 个欧盟国家选择对“一带一路”倡议保持观望态度。是什么原因 导致了欧盟国家内部在这一问题上出现了选择差异?

     既有研究多局限于单一主体或单一视角,关注欧盟或某一个国家对“一带一 路”倡议的认知,却忽视了不同主体之间的互动性以及影响因素之间的联系性。 基于此,本文在梳理国内外研究成果的基础上,借助模糊集定性比较分析(fsQCA) 的研究方法,对影响欧盟国家加入/未加入“一带一路”倡议背后的必要条件和 充分条件组合进行研究。本文从欧盟成员国的国内经济状况、与中国在海外市场 的利益冲突、在欧盟中的发言权、民粹主义、对欧洲集体身份的认同、与中国的 制度差异等六个方面提出了相关假设,并选取了权威变量进行检验。研究显示, “对欧洲集体身份认同度低”且“与中国的政治制度距离小”这一因素组合是推 动欧盟国家加入“一带一路”倡议最显著的路径。制度差异因素是影响欧盟国家 加入“一带一路”倡议与否的重要原因。国内经济状况在对欧盟国家决策的影响 上产生了差异性:国内经济表现糟糕的欧盟国家倾向于加入“一带一路”倡议, 但国内经济表现温和的欧盟国家并不一定会拒绝加入“一带一路”倡议。此外, 民粹主义在欧盟国家对“一带一路”倡议选择差异的问题上并无确定性影响。

外文摘要:

   Faced with "the Belt and Road" initiative which was proposed by China, the cognition and acceptance of EU countries have been different. Some EU countries emphasize the geopolitical threat of the "Belt and Road "initiative to Europe, while some EU countries pay more attention to potential economic development opportunities. Up to now, 18 EU countries have joined "the Belt and Road " initiative, but there are still 9 EU countries that choose to maintain a wait-and-see attitude towards “the Belt and Road” initiative. What are the reasons for the differences in choices among EU countries on this issue?

   Existing researches are mostly limited to a single subject or a single perspective, focusing on the EU or a certain country's cognition of “the Belt and Road" initiative, but ignoring the interactions between different subjects and the connections between influencing factors. Based on this, on the basis of combing the research results at home and abroad, this article uses the research method of Fuzzy Set Qualitative Comparative Analysis (fsQCA) to study the necessary condition and combination of sufficient conditions that affect EU countries' joining/not joining "the Belt and Road" initiative. This article proposes relevant hypotheses from six aspects: the domestic economic conditions of EU member states, the conflict of interest with China in overseas markets, the right to speak in the EU, populism, recognition of European collective identity, and institutional differences with China. This research selects authoritative variables for testing. Research shows that the combination of factors such as "low recognition of European collective identity" and "small distance from China's political system" is the most significant way to promote EU countries to join "the Belt and Road" initiative. System differences are an important factor that affects whether EU countries join "the Belt and Road " initiative. Domestic economic conditions have produced differences in the impact of EU countries’ decision-making: EU countries with poor domestic economic performance tend to join "the Belt and Road " initiative, but EU countries with moderate domestic economic performance may not necessarily refuse to join "the Belt and Road " initiative. In addition, populism has no definite influence on the issue of differences in EU countries’ choices of "the Belt and Road" initiative.

参考文献总数:

 93    

馆藏号:

 硕030207/21005    

开放日期:

 2022-06-19    

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