以人为本的新型城镇化道路需要提高流动人口的居留意愿，京津冀作为我国流动人口集中分布的重要地区，研究其流动人口的居留意愿对城镇化进程有较重要的意义。本文基于2016年全国流动人口卫生计生动态监测调查，对京津冀流动人口居留意愿的空间分布进行研究，并通过spss交叉表卡方检验以及Logistic回归模型对京津冀流动人口居留意愿的影响因素进行分析。结果表明，京津冀流动人口中有居留意愿的人群占比较高，达到62.3%，但其空间分布不均衡，受流入城市经济水平和城镇化发展水平影响较大。而影响流动人口居留意愿的个体因素有很多，突出表现为年龄在30-40岁之间、接受过高等教育、流动时长在10年以上，以及有自购住房的人群具有很高的定居意愿，除此之外，性别、户口性质、婚姻状况、收入、工作身份等因素同样会对流动人口的居留意愿造成显著影响。

The new urbanization road of people-oriented needs to improve the residence will of the floating population. Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei are an important area of the concentrated distribution of the floating population in China. It is of great significance to study the residence will of the floating population in the process of urbanization. Based on the dynamic monitoring and investigation of the floating population in 2016, this paper analyzes the spatial distribution and influencing factors of the residence will of the floating population in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei by SPSS cross table chi square test and Logistic regression model. The results show that the population of the floating population in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei is high, reaching 62.3%, but its spatial distribution is not balanced, which is greatly influenced by the economic level and the level of urbanization. There are a lot of individual factors affecting the willingness of the floating population to stay, which is characterized by a high willingness to settle between 30-40 years of age, higher education, higher education, more than 10 years of mobility, and people who have own housing. In addition, sex, the nature of household registration, marital status, income, work identity and other factors will also have a significant impact on the floating population's willingness to stay.