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中文题名:

 绿色金融对经济高质量发展的影响研究    

姓名:

 赵颂扬旸    

保密级别:

 公开    

论文语种:

 chi    

学科代码:

 0714Z1    

学科专业:

 经济统计学    

学生类型:

 博士    

学位:

 经济学博士    

学位类型:

 学术学位    

学位年度:

 2024    

校区:

 北京校区培养    

学院:

 统计学院    

研究方向:

 经济高质量发展    

第一导师姓名:

 陈梦根    

第一导师单位:

 统计学院    

提交日期:

 2024-06-28    

答辩日期:

 2024-05-28    

外文题名:

 A STUDY ON THE IMPACT OF GREEN FINANCE ON THE HIGH-QUALITY DEVELOPMENT OF CHINESE ECONOMY    

中文关键词:

 绿色金融 ; 绿色金融政策 ; 经济高质量发展 ; 统计测度    

外文关键词:

 Green finance ; Green finance policy ; High-quality economic development ; Statistical measurement    

中文摘要:

当前,中国社会经济发展环境发生深刻变化,已由高速增长阶段转入高质量发展阶段,面临发展理念和内涵的全面革新与挑战。近日召开的中央金融工作会议首次提出“金融强国”建设目标,绿色金融明确作为五大文章之一。绿色金融发展已上升至国家战略选择的新高度。那么,绿色金融何以成为金融大文章?是否有力推动了金融业及我国经济高质量发展?绿色金融兼具市场属性和政策属性,两种属性对经济高质量发展的影响机理如何运作,产生何种真实效果?

基于此背景,本文以绿色金融推动经济高质量发展为研究方向,结合绿色金融发展实际,剖析绿色金融推动经济高质量发展的内在机制,旨在探索绿色金融赋能经济高质量发展的有效路径。理论意义表现为:(1)本文将绿色金融市场工具与绿色金融政策融合到同一分析研究框架中,丰富、拓展了绿色金融发展理论。(2)本研究结合多种主流量化分析方法,对我国绿色金融发展和经济高质量发展水平现状、绿色金融对经济高质量发展的影响机制开展科学研究,有助于为后续研究提供方法上的参考和借鉴。现实意义表现为:(1)本文的研究结论有为政府部门选择绿色金融政策促进经济高质量发展提供事实依据。(2)本文有助于理绿色金融的经济高质量发展效应,有利于推动绿色金融体系建设,推动经济高质量发展。

本文在厘清绿色金融与经济高质量发展的概念内涵的前提下,基于庇古税和科斯定理、外部性与市场失灵理论、环境库兹涅茨曲线探索绿色金融相关理论基础;基于可持续发展理论和高质量发展学说,梳理经济高质量发展的理论依据,进而从绿色金融体系参与主体的经济行为出发,分析绿色金融对经济高质量发展的作用机制,提出本文的核心研究假设。进一步地,为掌握我国绿色金发展水平及特征,从市场微观主体企业的投入产生出角度着手,构建我国省份层面的绿色金融评价指标体系,使用全局主成分分析法测算了我国省级层面2010~2022年的绿色金融发展水平,并从不同地区和区域、时间和空间的角度刻画我国绿色发展水平的演进过程、时空特征和动态差异演进趋势等。本文从新发展理念下经济高质量发展的内涵着手,在隶属度方法筛选指标的基础上构建我国省级层面的经济高质量发展评价指标体系,结合纵横向拉开档次法与等权赋权法测算了我国省级层面2010~2022年的经济高质量发展水平,并从总体和区域层面对经济高质量发展的空间差异、结构差异及主要障碍因素进行分析和检验。基于以上理论框架和特征事实研究,实证部分基于绿色金融兼具市场和政策双重属性,分别从绿色金融市场工具和绿色金融政策两个角度,研究绿色金融对经济高质量发展的影响,并深入探究其中的传导机制、调节效应和异质性特征等。

研究发现:(1)我国当前绿色金融发展迅速,但市场供需差距较大,产品较为单一;绿色金融统计制度体系有待完善;绿色金融相关数据的数据透明度和可得性均不足,获取不易。(2)我国绿色绿色金融发展水平在后疫情时期呈现出两个主要新特征和演进变化,一方面,绿色金融在长期高速发展以后,出现了一个新的增长放缓期;另一方面绿色金融发展水平地区之间的差异增大,区域间出现两级分化,区域差异主要来源于区域间差异。(3)我国经济高质量发展水平整体稳步提升,且具有明显的阶段性特征,目前处于快速增长期;分维度发展指数中,共享发展指数和创新发展指数呈增长趋势,且增长速度较快;从区域角度来看,呈现“东高、东北次之、中平、西低”的梯度分布格局,区域间差异整体上呈下降趋势,空间差异主要来源于区域间差异;从结构角度来看,2014年以前,结构差异主要来源于开放发展差异和协调发展差异,而2014年以后经济高质量发展差异主要源于创新发展维度的差异;障碍因子诊断显示,开放发展和创新发展始终是阻碍我国经高质量发展的主要因素。(4)绿色金融市场工具对经济高质量有促进作用,就细分维度而言,绿色金融能够显著影响地区创新发展水平、绿色发展水平、经济开放水平和共享发展水平,但对地区经济协调发展的影响并不显著;绿色金融主要是通过色创新机制、产业结构升级、能源结构优化机制和社会保障机制发挥作用;绿色金融市场工具对经济高质量的促进作用在区域、经济发展结构和人力资本均存在异质性。(5)绿色金融政策对经济高质量发展具有显著的促进作用;绿色金融政策可以通过加强社会保障和促进产业结构升级来提高经济的高质量发展水平;环境规制在绿色金融政策对经济高质量发展的影响中起到了正向调节作用,且环境规制力度越大,绿色金融政策对经济发展的促进作用越大。

基于以上研究结论,提出如下政策建议:第一,从政策引导、绿色金融业务和差异化政策制定三个维度,多策并举推动绿色金融全方位发展发挥其在经济高质量发展中的积极作用;第二,因地施策,正视短板,促进经济高质量发展;第三,提升第三产业在社会经济发展中的地位,不断优化产业结构,促进产业结构升级,助力经济高质量发展。本文的的创新点在于:第一,研究视角的创新。本文从政府和市场的双重视角揭示了绿色金融助力经济高质量的驱动机制。第二,研究方法的创新。一是基于隶属度进行指标筛选,构建我国经济高质量发展评价指标体系;二是,采用该省份与最近港口的距离作为绿色金融的工具变量解决内生性问题;三是,运用文本分析法,从政策力度、政策目标、政策措施和政策反馈四个维度测度绿色金融政策效力力度指数。第三,研究内容的创新。一是,将绿色金融体系作为一个整体,量化评价绿色金融政策效力,探讨绿色金融政策对经济高质量发展的影响;二是,从不同地区和区域、时间和空间的角度刻画我国绿色发展水平的演进过程、时空特征和动态差异演进趋势等。第四,拓展和丰富绿色金融与经济高质量发展的研究框架。

外文摘要:

At present, China's social and economic development environment has undergone profound changes, and it has shifted from a stage of rapid growth to a stage of high-quality development, facing comprehensive innovations and challenges in its development concept and connotation. The recent Central Financial Work Conference put forward the goal of building a "financial power" for the first time, and green finance was clearly regarded as one of the five articles. The development of green finance has risen to a new height of national strategic choice. So, why has green finance become a major financial article? Has it strongly promoted the high-quality development of the financial industry and China's economy? Green finance has both market and policy attributes, how does the impact mechanism of the two attributes on high-quality economic development work, and what real effects do they have?

Based on this background, this paper takes green finance to promote high-quality economic development as the research direction, combined with the actual development of green finance, analyzes the internal mechanism of green finance to promote high-quality economic development, and aims to explore the effective path of green finance to empower high-quality economic development. The theoretical significance is as follows: (1) This paper integrates green financial market tools and green finance policies into the same analytical and research framework, which enriches and expands the development theory of green finance. (2) This study combines a variety of mainstream quantitative analysis methods to carry out scientific research on the current situation of green finance development and high-quality economic development in China, and the impact mechanism of green finance on high-quality economic development, which will help provide methodological reference and reference for follow-up research. The practical significance is as follows: (1) The conclusions of this paper provide a factual basis for government departments to choose green finance policies to promote high-quality economic development. (2) This paper is conducive to the high-quality economic development effect of green finance, and is conducive to promoting the construction of green financial system and promoting high-quality economic development.

On the premise of clarifying the conceptual connotation of green finance and high-quality economic development, this paper explores the theoretical basis of green finance based on the Pigou tax and Coase's theorem, the theory of externalities and market failure, and the environmental Kuznets curve. Based on the theory of sustainable development and the theory of high-quality development, this paper sorts out the theoretical basis of high-quality economic development, and then analyzes the mechanism of green finance on high-quality economic development from the perspective of the economic behavior of participants in the green financial system, and puts forward the core research hypothesis of this paper. Furthermore, in order to grasp the development level and characteristics of green gold in China, from the perspective of the investment generation of micro enterprises in the market, the evaluation index system of green finance at the provincial level in China was constructed, and the development level of green finance at the provincial level in China from 2 010~2022 was measured by using the global principal component analysis method and depicts the evolution process, spatiotemporal characteristics and dynamic differences of China's green development level from the perspectives of different regions and regions, time and space. Starting from the connotation of high-quality economic development under the new development concept, this paper constructs an evaluation index system for high-quality economic development at the provincial level in China on the basis of the selection index of the membership method, and calculates the high-quality economic development level at the provincial level in China from 2010~2022 by combining the vertical and horizontal opening grade method and the equal weight empowerment method, and analyzes and examines the spatial differences, structural differences and main obstacles to high-quality economic development from the overall and regional levels. Based on the above theoretical framework and characteristic facts, the empirical part is based on the dual attributes of green finance as both market and policy, and studies the impact of green finance on high-quality economic development from the perspectives of green financial market tools and green finance policies, and deeply explores the transmission mechanism, moderating effect and heterogeneity characteristics.

The results show that: (1) China's current green finance is developing rapidly, but the gap between market supply and demand is large, and the products are relatively simple; The statistical system of green finance needs to be improved; The data transparency and availability of green finance-related data are insufficient, and it is not easy to obtain. (2) The development level of green finance in China has shown two major new characteristics and evolutionary changes in the post-epidemic period: on the one hand, there has been a new slowdown period of growth after the long-term rapid development of green finance; On the other hand, the differences in the level of green finance development between regions have increased, and there are two levels of differentiation between regions, and the regional differences mainly come from the regional differences. (3) The overall level of high-quality economic development in China has been steadily improved, and it has obvious stage characteristics, and is currently in a period of rapid growth; Among the multi-dimensional development indexes, the shared development index and the innovation development index showed an increasing trend, and the growth rate was relatively fast. From a regional point of view, there is a gradient distribution pattern of "high in the east, followed by the northeast, middle flat, and low in the west", and the inter-regional differences show a downward trend on the whole, and the spatial differences mainly come from the inter-regional differences. From a structural point of view, before 2014, the structural differences mainly came from the differences in open development and coordinated development, while the differences in high-quality economic development after 2014 mainly came from the differences in the dimensions of innovation and development. The diagnosis of obstacle factors shows that open development and innovative development have always been the main factors hindering China's high-quality economic development. (4) Green financial market tools have a promoting effect on the high quality of the economy, and in terms of subdivision, green finance can significantly affect the level of regional innovation and development, green development, economic openness and shared development, but the impact on the coordinated development of regional economy is not significant. Green finance mainly plays a role through the color innovation mechanism, industrial structure upgrading, energy structure optimization mechanism and social security mechanism. The role of green financial market instruments in promoting the high quality of the economy is heterogeneous in terms of region, economic development structure and human capital. (5) Green finance policies have a significant role in promoting high-quality economic development; Green finance policies can improve the level of high-quality economic development by strengthening social security and promoting industrial structure upgrading; Environmental regulation plays a positive moderating role in the impact of green finance policies on high-quality economic development, and the greater the intensity of environmental regulation, the greater the role of green finance policies in promoting economic development.

Based on the above conclusions, the following policy suggestions are put forward: first, from the three dimensions of policy guidance, green finance business and differentiated policy formulation, multiple strategies should be taken to promote the all-round development of green finance and give full play to its positive role in high-quality economic development; Second, we should implement policies according to local conditions, face up to shortcomings, and promote high-quality economic development; Third, enhance the status of the tertiary industry in social and economic development, continuously optimize the industrial structure, promote the upgrading of the industrial structure, and promote high-quality economic development. The innovations of this paper are: first, the innovation of research perspectives. This paper reveals the driving mechanism of green finance to help the economy with high quality from the dual perspectives of the government and the market. Second, innovation in research methods. The first is to screen indicators based on the degree of membership, and construct an evaluation index system for the high-quality development of China's economy; Second, the distance between the province and the nearest port is used as a tool variable for green finance to solve the endogeneity problem. Third, the text analysis method is used to measure the green finance policy effectiveness index from four dimensions: policy strength, policy objectives, policy measures and policy feedback. Third, innovation in research content. First, the green financial system as a whole should be taken to quantitatively evaluate the effectiveness of green finance policies and explore the impact of green finance policies on high-quality economic development. Second, the evolution process, spatiotemporal characteristics and dynamic differences of China's green development level are described from the perspectives of different regions, regions, time and space. Fourth, expand and enrich the research framework on green finance and high-quality economic development.

参考文献总数:

 275    

馆藏地:

 图书馆学位论文阅览区(主馆南区三层BC区)    

馆藏号:

 博0714Z1/24002    

开放日期:

 2025-06-29    

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