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中文题名:

 百年变局下共同富裕的现实基础与实现路径研究(博士后研究报告)    

姓名:

 孙伯驰    

保密级别:

 公开    

论文语种:

 中文    

学科代码:

 0714Z1    

学科专业:

 经济统计学    

学生类型:

 博士后    

学位:

 经济学博士    

学位类型:

 学术学位    

学位年度:

 2022    

校区:

 北京校区培养    

学院:

 统计学院/国民核算研究院    

第一导师姓名:

 吕光明    

第一导师单位:

 北京师范大学统计学院    

提交日期:

 2022-08-22    

答辩日期:

 2022-08-22    

外文题名:

 Research on the realistic basis and realization path of common prosperity under the changes unseen in a century    

中文关键词:

 百年变局 ; 共同富裕 ; 全面小康 ; 市民化 ; 共享繁荣    

中文摘要:

共同富裕是社会主义的本质要求,是中国式现代化的重要特征。随着中国消除绝对贫困,全面建成小康社会,下一步促进共同富裕便是水到渠成的应有之义。党的十九届五中和六中全会对扎实推动共同富裕作出了重大战略部署,到2035年共同富裕取得更为明显的实质性进展、到2050年基本实现共同富裕的远景目标。这表明中国进入新发展阶段,共同富裕不仅是新发展阶段的一个愿景,而且被确立为一个远景目标。党中央在新发展理念下强调共同富裕目标,并明确具体的时间表,说明这对于经济社会发展全局的重要性,说明党中央把共享发展摆在一个前所未有的高度,代表新时期国家改革发展转型的重要标志。

在百年未有之大变局下,近年来国际环境发生了重大变化,特别是金融危机后资本强势带来新一轮收入差距扩大的趋势,使社会矛盾和不平等问题日益突出,引起全球范围内的社会运动、政权更迭和暴力革命。究其背后的原因,这都与不平等或社会流动性固化有很大关系。近年来,世界各国重点关于共享发展话题。面对逆全球化和第四次技术革命所产生的的负面影响,中国以实现共同富裕的重大战略举措予以应对。

本文首先提出新发展阶段推进共同富裕的时代定位,归纳总结当前促进中国共同富裕的新情况、新问题和新挑战;其次从总结中国减贫经验以及防止返贫监测这两个视角分析实现共同富裕的基础;再次围绕公平与效率、共享与发展并结合中国高质量发展进行具有中国特色的共同富裕的理论论述;在把握共同富裕理论内涵的基础上,从富裕和共享两个维度构建了共同富裕指标体系,测度了中国省域共同富裕的相对程度,并在国际比较的基础上,分析了中国整体共同富裕的客观位置和发展进程;随后从市民化角度进行影响共同富裕的实证研究;最后从共享繁荣视角对中国的共同富裕进程进行统计监测。基于此,本文的研究框架共分为8章,分别是第1章是引言部分;第2章是中国减贫成就的经验启示;第3章是防止返贫动态监测和精准帮扶的着力点;第4章是共同富裕的理论内涵;第5章是共同富裕的统计测度;第6章是共同富裕的实现路径——以市民化为例;第7章是基于共享繁荣视角的共同富裕进程统计监测;第8章是结论与政策建议。

上述得到以下结论:第一,益贫式增长与包容性政策的耦合构成了中国减贫的核心经验,是长期坚持并不断发展脱贫攻坚精神、接续推进乡村全面振兴和扎实推进共同富裕的战略之需。第二,利用一定程度的脆弱性水平反推的脆弱线可为瞄准中国农村防返贫监测对象提供依据。教育和医疗等基本公共服务仍然是制约防返贫监测对象发展的薄弱环节。第三,充分认识共同富裕建设的长期性、艰巨性、复杂性,准确把握省域共同富裕的差异性,以及中国整体共同富裕程度的客观位置,有助于各省梯度有序地分阶段推动共同富裕建设;第四,市民化是促进共同富裕的有效路径;第五,基于共享繁荣视角实现共同富裕需要走包容性增长路线,在公平和共享的理念下,使更多的人群和地区同步增长,让经济增长成果惠及更多的低收入群体,使他们生活得到实质性提高和改善。本文的创新之处在于,以往的研究更多立足于全面建成小康社会研究共同富裕,本文的研究立足于百年未有之大变局的视角研究共同富裕。本文的不足之处主要表现在,实证分析深度欠缺,经验证据不足。

外文摘要:

Common prosperity is the essential requirement of socialism and an important feature of Chinese-style modernization. As China eliminates absolute poverty and builds a moderately prosperous society in an all-round way, the next step is to promote common prosperity. The Fifth and Sixth Plenary Sessions of the 19th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China have made major strategic plans for solidly promoting common prosperity. By 2035, common prosperity will achieve more obvious and substantial progress, and by 2050, the long-term goal of common prosperity will be basically achieved. This shows that China has entered a new stage of development, and common prosperity is not only a vision of the new stage of development, but also established as a long-term goal. Under the new development concept, the CPC Central Committee emphasizes the goal of common prosperity, and specifies a specific timetable, which shows its importance to the overall economic and social development, and shows that the CPC Central Committee has placed shared development at an unprecedented height, representing the country's reform, development and transformation in the new era. important sign.

Under the great changes unseen in a century, the international environment has undergone major changes in recent years, especially after the financial crisis, the strong capital has brought a new round of widening income gaps, which has made social contradictions and inequality problems increasingly prominent, causing global social movements, regime changes and violent revolutions. The reasons behind it all have a lot to do with inequality or the solidification of social mobility. In recent years, countries around the world have focused on shared development topics. Facing the negative impact of de-globalization and the fourth technological revolution, China has responded with major strategic measures to achieve common prosperity.

This paper first puts forward the era orientation of promoting common prosperity in the new development stage, and summarizes the current new situation, new problems and new challenges in promoting China's common prosperity; secondly, it analyzes the realization of common prosperity from the perspectives of summarizing China's poverty reduction experience and monitoring the prevention of returning to poverty. foundation; once again, the theoretical discussion of common prosperity with Chinese characteristics is carried out around fairness and efficiency, sharing and development, and combined with China's high-quality development; on the basis of grasping the theoretical connotation of common prosperity, the common prosperity index is constructed from the two dimensions of prosperity and sharing. The system measures the relative degree of common prosperity in China's provinces, and on the basis of international comparison, analyzes the objective position and development process of China's overall common prosperity; then conducts empirical research on the impact of common prosperity from the perspective of citizenization; The Prosperity Perspective conducts statistical monitoring of China's common prosperity process. Based on this, the research framework of this paper is divided into 8 chapters. The first chapter is the introduction; the second chapter is the experience and enlightenment of China's poverty reduction achievements; the third chapter is the focus of dynamic monitoring and precise assistance to prevent the return of poverty; The fourth chapter is the theoretical connotation of common prosperity; the fifth chapter is the statistical measurement of common prosperity; the sixth chapter is the realization path of common prosperity—taking citizenization as an example; the seventh chapter is the statistics of common prosperity process based on the perspective of shared prosperity Monitoring; Chapter 8 is conclusions and policy recommendations.

The following conclusions are drawn from the above: First, the coupling of pro-poor growth and inclusive policies constitutes the core experience of poverty reduction in China, and is part of the strategy of long-term adherence to and continuous development of the spirit of poverty alleviation, continuous promotion of comprehensive rural revitalization, and solid promotion of common prosperity. Second, using a certain degree of vulnerability level to reverse the vulnerability line can provide a basis for targeting China's rural poverty prevention monitoring objects. Basic public services such as education and medical care are still the weak links that restrict the development of monitoring targets for poverty return prevention. Third, fully understand the long-term, arduous and complex nature of common prosperity construction, accurately grasp the differences of provincial common prosperity, and the objective position of China’s overall common prosperity, which will help provinces to promote common prosperity in an orderly and phased manner. Prosperity construction; fourth, citizenization is an effective way to promote common prosperity; fifth, to achieve common prosperity from the perspective of shared prosperity requires an inclusive growth path, and under the concept of fairness and sharing, more people and regions can grow synchronously , so that the results of economic growth will benefit more low-income groups, and their lives will be substantially improved and improved. The innovation of this paper is that the previous research is more based on building a moderately prosperous society in an all-round way to study common prosperity. The shortcomings of this paper are mainly manifested in the lack of depth of empirical analysis and insufficient empirical evidence.

参考文献总数:

 114    

馆藏地:

 图书馆学位论文阅览区(主馆南区三层BC区)    

馆藏号:

 博0714Z1/22009    

开放日期:

 2023-08-22    

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