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中文题名:

 中国经济高质量发展指标体系与综合评价研究    

姓名:

 梅婷    

保密级别:

 公开    

论文语种:

 中文    

学科代码:

 025200    

学科专业:

 应用统计    

学生类型:

 硕士    

学位:

 应用统计硕士    

学位类型:

 专业学位    

学位年度:

 2019    

校区:

 北京校区培养    

学院:

 统计学院/国民核算研究院    

第一导师姓名:

 宋旭光    

第一导师单位:

 北京师范大学统计学院    

提交日期:

 2019-06-19    

答辩日期:

 2019-05-24    

外文题名:

 RESEARCH ON CHINA’S ECONOMIC QUALITY DEVELOPMENT INDEX SYSTEM AND COMPREHENSIVE EVALUATION    

中文关键词:

 高质量发展 ; 指标体系 ; 综合评价 ; 灰色预测    

中文摘要:

中国经济已进入高质量发展期,如何对经济高质量发展水平进行评价与监测是值得探讨的问题。建立中国经济高质量发展指标体系、对经济高质量发展水平进行综合评价、对经济高质量发展指数进行预测、分析经济高质量发展的影响因素,可以及时发现问题或短板,有利于经济高质量发展进程的有效推进。

本文通过对十九大报告、2017 年中央经济工作会议报告的学习,深刻理解经济高质量发展内涵,以 “新发展理念” 为基础建立了包括提质增效、创新发展、协调发展、绿色发展、开放发展、共享发展六个一级指标的中国经济高质量发展指标体系。选取 2013-2017 年的数据,对数据进行无量纲处理并赋予相等权重,对经济高质量发展水平进行综合评价。2017 年我国经济高质量发展指数为 71.74 较上年提高 2.31,十八大以来(2013-2017 年) 平均年增长幅度为 4.58%。从六大模块来看,2017 年各模块指数均在 65 以上,并均以合理速度增长。预计“十三五”末(2020 年)经济高质量发展指数将突破 80 达 82.75,六大模块指数均在 70 以上。生产要素使用效率、产业结构以及环境质量对经济高质量发展具有显著影响。

经济高质量发展整体进程顺利推进,但在部分领域也存在一些值得关注的问题,本文在分析综合评价及实证研究结果后,提出了若干针对性建议。

外文摘要:

For the first time in the report of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China mentioned that China's economy has shifted from a high-speed growth phase to a high-quality development phase. How to evaluate and monitor the high-quality development level of the economy is a question worth exploring. Establishing a high-quality development indicator system for China's economy, making comprehensive evaluation of high-quality economic development level, forecasting high-quality economic development index, and analyzing the influencing factors of high-quality economic development can find problems or short-term problems in a timely manner, which is conducive to the effective promotion of high-quality economic development process.

Through the study of the report of the 19th National Congress and the 2017 Central Economic Work Conference, this paper deeply understands the connotation of high-quality economic development, and builds China's high-quality development indicator system based on the "new development concept" with improving quality and efficiency, innovation, coordination, green, openness and sharing.

The data of 2013-2017, the “pilot period” of high- quality development was selected. After nondimensionalization and empowerment, this paper made a comprehensive evaluation of the high-quality development level of the economy. In 2017, China's high-quality economic development index was 71.74, an increase of 2.31 from the previous year. The average annual

growth rate since the 18th National Congress (2013-2017) was 4.58%. From the perspective of the six modules, the index of each modules in 2017 is above 65, and they all increase at a reasonable speed. It is expected that the “high quality development index of the “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan” (2020) will exceed 80 to 82.75, and the six module indices are all above 70. The use efficiency of production factors, industrial structure and environmental quality have a significant impact on the high quality of economic development.

     The overall process of high-quality economic development has progressed smoothly, but there are some issues worthy of attention in some areas. After analyzing the comprehensive evaluation and empirical research results, this paper proposes nine targeted recommendations.

 

参考文献总数:

 31    

馆藏号:

 硕025200/19071    

开放日期:

 2022-10-19    

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